There was no Germany. There was no UK, no England, no France. No Europe as we now understand it culturally or politically. Pointless analogy.
The problem with forecasts is that they can only be based on a time line of factual data from current day backwards (say minus 5 years as an example) and then roll that data forward whilst including the many variables that you know to be true which are upcoming The rest is very much 'finger in the air' Now I'm not saying that the data they've used to start with is incorrect at all, but it's impossible to forecast anything even resembling accuracy past the date of the UK cutting ties with the EU as currently no decisions are final on anything. There are no decisions on trade deals either with the EU or anyone else. No decisions on the possibility of government subsidised payments to counter WTO vehicle tariffs (or not), no major commercial announcements for UK investment of which we don't already know, and to top it all off no data currently on when the housing bubble will burst (nothing to do with Brexit) or when credit will fall off a cliff due to the over use by the UK public. Those latter two points are the most likely to effect UK growth, both of which are nothing to do with the decision to leave the EU Unfortunately these patterns just happen and they always do, it's just a matter of time. Most people are quite aware of this apart from one chap who made a very public statement saying there will be 'no more boom and bust' (or something like that) Needless to say I think he was either lying, naive or incredibly disingenuous. 'Growth' cannot simply keep happening without slowing or the occasional downturn, in my view it's ridiculous to ever think that.
You fell down at the 1st hurdle there @damodici You refer to "factual data". Have you seen Dukey66's posts? I've never seen factual data in any of them.
There was that time he used a vogue article? Did nothing for accuracy on brexit but I bought a rather nice jacket based on their recommendation.
yip, and thats why you will never see me in one noob. i could go full nat and confess that i boycott all Scottish produce (not the rest of uk) marked with it, but that would make me comparable with yon brixitards
Just for you fin, a morning chuckle http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/201...cked-claim-half-2-billion-budget-boost-wrong/ Fin, jacket size, what size are you?
yip, and thats how suckers gets duped. britain or bust. 1.1bill is a loan for capitol spending. ie. it has to be payed back. it equates to a budget cut of 500mill over the next two years.dont trust helmet heed, trust the Fraser of Allander institute, and talking of capitol spend, we had to spend 400mill of our last chunk of capitol spending sorting the uk broadband (reserved)roll out fiasco, up here. target was 85%, 22% met.and mostly around the boarders and n/east, uh huh. that and a gazzillin other examples where we mitigate for the uk's ineptitude. and nay luck Dundee btw. jacket size, hmm, i don't think they do the butchers apron in my size.
Let me show you duke. If you look back through ANY westernised country over the last 50-80 years you will ALWAYS have cycles of crashes and then rebuilds, always! Without a crash how can you have increased growth? Even if we had no debt and we ran at 98% efficiency, people like you would still say, look at that 2%, fucking tories always ruin it for the working man. The simple thing is the system is perfect with the exception of the biggest flaw, us. People will always borrow more, our young think nothing of bitching every month saying my money is going on paying debt and it doesn't even register for them that the debt money could be theirs had they saved then bought the items they want because they want it and want it now. Peoples attitudes towards saving and then buying is more at fault. I know from some around me that all they looked at when applying for a new card/loan/hp all they saw was how much spare money do we have at the end of the month, don't save it but get more hp/credit/loans as the minimum repayment is what we have left every month. Fin, see what santa gives you
dude, Santa isnt real. kind of like the promises made by the brexitards. anyhoo, a wee shameless plug for something close to your hart, meant quite sincerely, brw. motorsport dementia,dyslexia and brexshit.